NVDA$213.78+17.05%NVIDIA Corporation
5d -6.4%earnings Nov 18in 29d52wk high $243.37 · -12.2%
AprMayJunJulAugSepOct$190.01$239.24 6mo hi$213.79
6-month trend +5.6%
$165.17$243.37 (52wk high)add ≤ $130.00limit $120.00$213.78
Realized P&L
-$198.23
Closed trades
6
Win rate
33%
Still held
$4,275.97
Avg cost
$105.87

Thesis

HIGHresearchstable

Nvidia is the full-stack AI infrastructure play — chips + free Neotron open-source model. Enterprise AI sovereignty wave drives long tail of buyers deploying local inference servers = Nvidia GPU demand everywhere. Token prices dropping 90%/year for 3 years expands compute demand exponentially. Neotron open-source model now competitive with Claude for 95% of searches. Palantir Sovereign AI OS partnership. Jensen took gloves off now that customers (OpenAI, Anthropic, AMD, Tesla) are building their own chips. Nvidia needs a competitive model layer to own the ecosystem.

Narrative: All-In Ep 279 thesis: Nvidia is the full stack AI infrastructure play. Neotron open-source model now competitive with frontier labs. Palantir partnership creates 'Sovereign AI OS' for US government — Nvidia provides the model layer. Jensen deliberately downplayed Neotron until now because top customers were worried — but now with OpenAI building jalapeno chips, Anthropic chips, AMD partn

Next catalyst: Q2 earnings (Aug 2026), Neotron enterprise adoption milestones, Palantir partnership deal flow

Max entry: 130.0 · Entry limit: 120.0 · Profit target: 15.0 · Timeframe: months

Options positions (ledger as of 2026-10-07T11:30)

ExpirySideContractsNet cost
2027-01-15short3-$4,874.00
2027-01-15long3$10,019.00
2027-01-15short2-$5,594.00
2027-01-15long2$6,325.00

avg_price is per-contract dollars; shorts carry negative credits.

Research mentions — timeline (2)

newest first · undated last
Altimeter (Gerstner, $9.8B): NVDA 19.2% top holding. NEW: Cerebras 16.2% ($1.60B), MU, Qualcomm, Applied Materials, LRCX ($171M), SpaceX ($303.5M). EXITED AVGO and AXON. Kept: CRWV 6.2%, ARM $582M, META $763M, TSM $683M, AMZN $578M, HOOD/SNOW core. Signal: rotation out of AXON/AVGO into compute-hardware picks-and-shovels. AVGO + AXON watchlist entries lost their initiating guru.
Investable surface: HOOD (agentic access layer) + NVDA (compute) — xAI itself is private. Watch: Robinhood agentic-adoption metrics, xAI agent API pricing, any broker-agent rails announcements.
→ search the full corpus for NVDA
Read-only insight page · assembled Oct 20, 2026 09:55 AM ET · not a trade recommendation; execution only in the agentic account after Raj agrees to a specific trade.
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