ELF$113.48-17.12%ELF Beauty (Rhode)
5d +3.2%earnings Nov 04in 16d52wk high $131.70 · -13.8%
AprMayJunJulAugSepOct$49.57$116.11 6mo hi$113.48
6-month trend +69.4%
$49.57$131.70 (52wk high)add ≤ $57.00limit $55.00$113.48
Realized P&L
$565.06
Closed trades
5
Win rate
60%

Thesis

HIGHwatchlistexpanding

e.l.f. Beauty acquired Hailey Bieber's Rhode skincare brand for $1B in May 2025. Rhode is doing $390M net rev (+80% YoY) but only in 20% of Sephora stores globally — 5x distribution runway. Legacy e.l.f. namesake brand declining masks the Rhode growth story. Stock down 65% from highs, trading at 15.5x forward P/E with 25% revenue growth.

Narrative: JUL 7 CLOSE: ELF at $74.99 (+2.04%). Well above max_entry $57 - entry zone closed. Rhode thesis playing out. Stock recovered from $65.09 (Jun 25) low. No entry possible at current levels but thesis still confirming. Watch for pullback as Rhode sales data comes in.

Next catalyst: Rhode Summer collection sales numbers (Jul-Aug), Q1 FY2027 earnings (Aug), Rhode retail expansion

Max entry: 57.0 · Entry limit: 55.0 · Profit target: 30.0 · Timeframe: months

Research mentions — timeline (2)

newest first · undated last
Jun 12ELF $99.51 — Rhode thesis played out (+23% day , ran from $63 to ~$148 high); entry zone long closed, -32.7% off high now. Active/watch for pullback.
Cases retold: Beacon Roofing (hail -> Google Trends, 4-wk edge), Hunger Games, Stranger Things (conversation volume ~3x prior hit), ELF/Jeffree Star, Vita Coco viral sound.
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Library documents (1)

Read-only insight page · assembled Oct 19, 2026 04:21 PM ET · not a trade recommendation; execution only in the agentic account after Raj agrees to a specific trade.
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